WWE Clash at the Castle Spoilers: Betting Preview For Tomorrow’s WWE PPV

Thanks to Kyle Newman of OddsChecker for sending this in:

Clash at the Castle betting preview: Will McIntyre dethrone Reigns

 

Tomorrow marks the first time WWE has hosted a PPV in the UK since Insurrextion in 2003. With that nearly 20 year gap ending you’d expect some UK stars to come out on top for their hometown audience right? Sportsbooks aren’t so sure.

Roman Reigns v. Drew McIntyre 

Roman Reigns and Drew McIntyre have the highest profile match on the card. The two will battle for the Undisputed Universal Championship. Reigns hasn’t lost a televised match since 2019 and will have been champion for 735 days come Saturday. Will McIntyre win in front of his home crowd? Sportsbooks think it’s a tossup.

Reigns and McIntyre are both given -120 odds, or an implied 54.6% chance to win the match. That’s a stark difference from how sportsbooks viewed the match a week ago when Reigns was the heavy favorite at -227, or an implied 69.4% chance.

Wrestler

Odds

Implied chance

Roman Reigns

-120

54.6%

Drew McIntyre

-120

54.6%

Liv Morgan v. Shayna Baszler 

Unlike the Men’s title match, the Women’s title match has a clear and obvious favorite. Liv Morgan is most likely going to retain her title according to sportsbooks.

The Smackdown Women’s champion is given -333 odds, or an implied 76.9% chance to retain here title. That’s an increase on her -303 odds from last Friday. Meanwhile, Baszler is given +200 odds, or an implied 33.3% chance to pull off the upset.

Wrestler

Odds

Implied chance

Liv Morgan

-333

76.9%

Shayna Baszler

+200

33.3%

Bianca Belair, Alexa Bliss, and Asuka v. Bayley, Dakota Kai, and Iyo Sky 

This is yet another match where the favorites have only expanded their lead in the last week. The heel team of Bayley, Dakota Kai, and Iyo Sky are the massive favorites to win this one at -400, or an implied 80% chance. That’s a sizable increase form the -250 odds they were given last Friday.

Meanwhile, the babyfaces are given +225 odds, or an implied 30.8% chance to pull off the upset. If they do lose, it would be Bianca Belair’s first PPV loss, in a non-Royal Rumble match, since Crown Jewel in October of 2021.

Tag Team

Odds

Implied chance

Bayley, Dakota Kai, Iyo Sky

-400

80%

Bianca Belair, Alexa Bliss, Asuka 

+225

30.8%

Matt Riddle v. Seth Rollins 

This match hasn’t seen much odds movement. Seth Rollins remains the favorite, and the odds have moved in his favor, but only slightly.

Rollins is now given -227 odds, or an implied 69.4% chance to win the match. He was given -175 odds last Friday. Meanwhile, Matt Riddle has gone from +125 odds to +163 odds, and he’s still given a 38% chance to pull off the upset.

Wrestler

Odds

Implied chance

Seth Rollins

-227

69.4%

Matt Riddle

+163

38%

Gunther v. Sheamus 

Gunther is the biggest favorite on the card. In fact, the odds were already so large that they didn’t move from last week.

Gunther is given -455 odds, or an implied 82% chance to retain his Intercontinental title. Meanwhile, hometown hero Sheamus is given +275 odds, or just a 26.7% chance to win the only title he has never won in his WWE career.

Wrestler

Odds

Implied chance

Gunther

-455

82%

Sheamus

+275

26.7%

Edge and Rey Mysterio v. The Judgement Day 

Sportsbooks believe that the heels are going to come out on top here. The Judgement Day is a pretty big favorite at -189, or an implied 65.4% chance to come out on top. Meanwhile, Edge and Rey Mysterio are given +138 odds, or an implied 42% chance to pull off the upset.

That said, this match hasn’t been on the card long, and it’s possible that sportsbooks are simply behind the curve here. It’s hard to tell given just how little time this match has had on the market.

Tag Team

Odds

Implied chance

The Judgement Day

-189

65.4%

Edge and Rey Mysterio

+138

42%

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